On March 31, Wuhan 2020 Lot 001, which was delayed due to the epidemic, was again listed for sale online. The "First Industrial Park" of Jiangsu Wuzhong Group won the prize with 136.2 million yuan. It is planned to develop and construct the "First Industrial Park - Wuhan Zhilian Star Creation Center Industrial Park" project, which is a theme industrial complex serving intelligent manufacturing, the Internet of Things, and big data.
China News Weekly saw at the site of the project in Qingling Industrial Park, Hongshan District, Wuhan City that this land is located in the center of Qingling Industrial Park. From the map, the plot is between the Yangtze River and Qingling Lake, and the straight line distance from the northwest corner of the Yangtze River is only more than 1 km.
The first phase of the project is planned to use 180 mu of land, with a total construction area of 372700 square meters, and an estimated investment of 1.5 billion yuan.
Wu Jiang, the project leader and general manager of Jiangsu Wuzhong Group Wuhan Xinghan Industrial Park Development Co., Ltd., showed the renderings of the project to China News Weekly, "From the perspective of geographical location, our plot is at a golden cross node, which is part of the main axis of the Yangtze River being built in Wuhan. Across the river is Zhuankou Chedu in Wuhan Economic Development Zone, and in the southeast is Optics Valley. We are in the middle of two major development zones, expanding along the Third Ring Road and the Fourth Ring Road, forming the main industrial axis of Wuhan."
In 2011, Wuhan launched the "Industrial Multiplication Plan", which clearly requires optimizing the industrial space, building four major industrial sectors, namely, Big Optics Valley, Big Chedu, Big Airport and Big Port, and creating a number of high-end industrial bases and characteristic industrial clusters.
In Wujiang's view, Dalinkong and Dalingang are mainly based on transportation, and the real high-tech ones are Dachedu and Daguang Valley. Therefore, being at the golden node where the two main axes intersect, it is also the value of Wuhan Zhilian Star Creation Center Industrial Park in the future.
Talking about the confidence in Wuhan's investment after the epidemic, Liu Jian, General Manager of the First Industrial Park, said: "Wuhan has unique advantages, its strategic position as a national central city, its hub location as a thoroughfare to nine provinces, its basic strength as the main axis of the Yangtze River and the four major industrial clusters, and the talent resources of millions of college students every year, all of which we value."
Unstoppable thoroughfare of nine provinces
On March 29, the official website of Wuhan Statistics Bureau officially announced that the GDP data for 2019 was 1.62 trillion yuan, an increase of 7.4% over the previous year. As a result, in 2019, China's top 10 cities in terms of GDP were finally settled, and Wuhan ranked eighth, up one place from the previous year, between Chengdu and Hangzhou.
However, with the outbreak of the epidemic, since this year, most of Wuhan's economic activities have been suspended, and its financial revenue has been hit hard. Peng Zhimin, a counselor of the Hubei Provincial Government and a researcher of the Provincial Academy of Social Sciences, believes that the GDP situation in Wuhan this year is not optimistic. According to the statistics of the Wuhan Municipal Bureau of Statistics, in January and February this year, the total revenue of Wuhan's general public budget was 53.855 billion yuan, down 31.8%, The growth of other major economic indicators was also negative.
"In fact, although Wuhan ranked one place higher in 2019, it is not far behind Hangzhou and Tianjin, and is easy to catch up." Peng Zhimin told China Newsweek.
Among the top 10 cities, Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen and Guangzhou ranked in the top 4, Chongqing ranked the fifth, and Tianjin fell to the tenth from the sixth last year. In addition, Suzhou, Chengdu, Wuhan and Hangzhou occupied the sixth to ninth positions, of which Wuhan only lost Chengdu by 78.9 billion yuan, 85 billion yuan higher than Hangzhou.
However, Peng Zhimin does not believe that Wuhan's position in the national regional strategy will be shaken. The position of Wuhan as a thoroughfare of nine provinces, whether it is Tieshui, Gongkong or other transportation modes, will not change fundamentally due to an epidemic.
When talking about Wuhan, one word that can never be avoided is "thoroughfare of nine provinces". From the perspective of geographical location, Wuhan is located in the east of Jianghan Plain and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. The main stream of the Yangtze River and its tributary Hanjiang River divide Wuhan into three towns, Wuchang, Hankou and Hanyang. As the economic and geographical center of China, Wuhan is the largest inland water, land and air transportation hub and the shipping center in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. The high-speed rail network radiates over half of China.
The unique location advantage makes Wuhan occupy an important position in many national strategies. It is the core city of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, the strategic fulcrum of the rise of central China, and one of the three major intelligence intensive areas in China. In December 2016, the 13th Five Year Plan for Promoting the Rise of the Central Region was approved by the State Council, and in six provinces of Shanxi, Anhui, Jiangxi, Henan, Hubei and Hunan, it clearly proposed to support Wuhan and Zhengzhou in building national central cities.
Shortly thereafter, the National Development and Reform Commission sent a letter to the People's Government of Hubei Province, and at the same time, issued the Guiding Opinions on Supporting Wuhan to Build a National Central City, proposing that Wuhan should base itself on the middle reaches, lead the central region, serve the country, link the world, and comprehensively improve the functions of modern manufacturing base, service hub, innovation source, and open platform, We will strengthen the construction of shipping centers and comprehensive transportation hubs in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, strengthen the role of support and continuity, expand new space for development along the river, erect the backbone of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, and accelerate the construction of a national central city supported by four major functions: national economic center, high-level scientific and technological innovation center, commercial logistics center, and international communication center.
"The shipping center in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River is irreplaceable among the cities along the Yangtze River." Peng Zhimin further analyzed that Changsha and Nanchang, the capital cities of the six central provinces, are not on the Yangtze River. Although Yueyang and Jiujiang are closer to the Yangtze River, their economic size and development scale are obviously incomparable with Wuhan.
Among the six provinces in central China, Zhengzhou, which is also a national central city, has a comparative advantage in land transportation and a better transportation advantage in facing the north; In terms of air passenger flow, Zhengzhou and Changsha have often exceeded Wuhan in recent years, but as a comprehensive three-dimensional transportation hub, Wuhan is irreplaceable at least in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.
Worries about brain drain
In the opinion of Wu Chuanqing, vice president of the China Development Strategy and Planning Research Institute of Wuhan University and member of the decision-making advisory committee of Wuhan Municipal People's Government, in addition to the advantages of traffic location, the advantages of science and education resources in Wuhan should not be underestimated. As a famous intellectual resource intensive area at home and abroad, Wuhan is also a national innovative pilot city, with nearly 90 universities, 100 scientific research institutes, dozens of academicians, more than 1 million college students and other scientific and educational resources, human resources advantages.
Based on these resources, Wuhan has actively cultivated new momentum in recent years, vigorously advocated the development of "knowledge economy", "academician economy" and "alumni economy", built a number of industrial technology research institutes, and developed technology intensive industries and knowledge intensive industries such as strategic emerging industries and high-tech industries.
As an important old industrial city in China, relying on three national level development zones, namely, Wuhan East Lake New Technology Industrial Development Zone, Wuhan Economic and Technological Development Zone, and Wuhan Airport Economic and Technological Development Zone, Wuhan carries out investment attraction and talent attraction, gathering domestic and foreign capital, technology, talent, information and other production requirements, It has developed into a well-known optoelectronic information industry base, automobile industry base, biological industry base, geospatial information and service industry base, etc. At present, it is vigorously promoting the national high-end memory industry base, new energy and intelligent connected vehicle industry base, commercial aerospace industry base, network security and talent innovation base, etc., with obvious industrial advantages.
In terms of industrial agglomeration, Wuhan integrated circuit industrial cluster, new display industrial cluster, next-generation information network industrial cluster, and biomedicine industrial cluster are the first batch of national strategic emerging industrial clusters approved by the National Development and Reform Commission. At present, Beijing, Shanghai, and Wuhan account for four of the 66 national strategic emerging industrial clusters, It has become the city with the largest number of emerging industrial clusters. Wuhan geospatial information and application service innovative industrial cluster was included in the first batch of national innovative industrial cluster pilot list approved by the Ministry of Science and Technology.
In addition, Wuhan is a national "Made in China 2025" pilot demonstration city. Among the 13 national manufacturing innovation centers in China, Wuhan has two national information optoelectronics innovation centers and national digital design and manufacturing innovation centers. "If technology is strong, industry is strong, industry is strong, and economy is strong, comprehensive strength is strong," Wu Chuanqing said.
However, with the outbreak of the epidemic, cities and counties in Wuhan and Hubei have been closed one after another, and residents have been isolated at home, blocking the transmission route of the epidemic to the maximum extent. Before the closure of the city, the mayor of Wuhan, Zhou Xianwang, revealed that 5 million people had left Wuhan.
With the resumption of work and production in various provinces and cities other than Hubei, the time gap caused by the relatively sluggish resumption of work in Hubei and Wuhan, on the one hand, may cause the original market share to be squeezed; On the other hand, a new round of "people grabbing war" has been launched in various provinces and cities, which may lead to the loss of some high-end talents.
This is exactly what Qian Deping, the executive deputy director of the construction management office of Wuhan National Biological Industry Base (Optics Valley Biological City), is most worried about. "Many of the Optics Valley Biological City are high-tech industries, and talent is the key. If the core talents leave, the enterprise may have no hope."
In Qian Deping's opinion, although Wuhan has obvious regional advantages, it is only hundreds of kilometers away from surrounding cities, and high-speed railway can reach it in one or two hours. In addition, the income cost is really not high compared with coastal cities. Even compared with surrounding cities such as Zhengzhou and Changsha, Wuhan does not have obvious advantages, and the surrounding cities have great determination to develop industries, Therefore, some college students trained in Wuhan may not be the first choice to stay in Wuhan, and the outbreak of the epidemic is more likely to aggravate the brain drain.
Wu Chuanqing is much more optimistic. In his opinion, some industries in Wuhan are irreplaceable by other cities, such as optoelectronics industry, Beidou satellite industry, and the application of some biological industries. The reason why these industries choose to invest in Wuhan is that they see the advantages of Wuhan's location, science and education resources, and industrial supporting advantages, It is impossible to give up because of two months of stagnation. However, some small industrial supporting facilities may be replaced by enterprises in other cities.
With the development of the new economy, all provinces and cities have taken advantage of this trend. Some provinces and cities with weak economic foundation have also found the momentum of development, and the economy has grown rapidly. Many scholars believe that the new economy has made cities stand on a new starting line again, and the development of cities is ushering in a process of reshuffle. But in Peng Zhimin's view, under the new economy, there will still be a gap in the development of cities: "Why are most of the leading high-tech enterprises still in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen? Their basic conditions, policies, capital investment, and efforts to attract talents are still great. Although there are not many colleges and universities in Shenzhen, enterprises have strong R&D capabilities because they attract talents from all over the country and even the world."
In Peng Zhimin's opinion, after the epidemic, the focus of Wuhan's economic development should still be properly tilted to high-tech and high-end industries in the new economic field, otherwise it may be more passive.
Develop in a group
Over the years, Peng Zhimin has been calling for the construction of Wuhan Metropolitan Area. "Frankly, the construction of Wuhan Metropolitan Area has not progressed well in recent years."
According to Peng Zhimin, at that time, the construction of Wuhan city circle was included in the national strategy, which was still a demonstration area of "two oriented society". At first, several projects were also done, which had great influence in the city circle at that time. Later, there were few substantive actions and cities in the circle were not mentioned.
Wuhan has always been the largest city in Hubei. "Among the provincial capital cities in China, Wuhan ranks first in 3.2, second only to Chengdu," said Peng Zhimin. From the perspective of GDP in 2019, Xiangyang, the second largest city in Hubei Province, has a GDP of 481.284 billion yuan, less than a fraction of that of Wuhan.
"From the perspective of this epidemic, the Wuhan metropolitan area is a community of shared future. In addition to Wuhan being the center of the epidemic, the two most serious cities are Xiaogan and Huanggang, which are also the closest and most overlapping places with Wuhan's population flow and logistics." Peng Zhimin analyzed that this also shows that there are many links between the Wuhan metropolitan area, but in the past, because of administrative intervention, Wuhan is unwilling to drain some advantageous resources out of its jurisdiction, which artificially blocks cooperation between regions.
Peng Zhimin believes that through this epidemic, Wuhan and surrounding cities should first jointly respond to the medical early warning system and strengthen cooperation in joint prevention and control; Secondly, we should strengthen industrial cooperation and advocate two-way industrial transfer, that is, the headquarters should be transferred to Wuhan, and the manufacturing factories should be transferred to the surrounding cities and counties. "So if Wuhan wants to become bigger and stronger in the future, it should first rely on the surrounding cities to carry out a reasonable division of labor across the province. Although this is an epidemic problem, it should also cause us to reflect that we should improve the form of economic cooperation, reduce isolation, jointly occupy the high point of the industrial system, and form competitiveness as soon as possible."
In fact, as a megacity with a permanent resident population of 11 million, Wuhan's agglomeration function in population, industry and other central cities is increasingly strengthened. With the implementation of major national development strategies such as Wuhan City Circle, the city cluster in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, promoting the rise of the central region, and the development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, Wuhan's radiation and driving role is also increasingly evident.
"From the construction of Wuhan metropolitan area to the construction of Wuhan city circle, and then to the construction of urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, in the strategic pattern of national and regional coordinated development, the comprehensive carrying capacity of Wuhan has been accelerated, the allocation capacity of resource elements, the agglomeration function of central cities and the radiation effect have been strengthened, so as to improve the city level of Wuhan."
Wu Chuanqing believes that, as the focus of the national strategic layout of multiple regions, Wuhan will become a national central city based in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, leading the central region, serving the country and linking the world, and become the representative of the "new first tier city" after Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou and Hangzhou.
"Whether it is the strategy of the Yangtze River Economic Belt or the strategy of the rise of the central region, the key is how to use the national strategy to plan some major projects and projects, to connect with the strategy, and to implement the strategy." Peng Zhimin, for example, in the strategy of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, clearly proposed that Wuhan should build a shipping center in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. In recent years, Wuhan has made significant progress in this regard, He also made great contributions to the epidemic resistance. However, in general, there is still a big gap between Shanghai and the international shipping center, or Chongqing on the upper reaches of the Yangtze River.
Therefore, Peng Zhimin believes that for the opportunities brought by the national strategy, we really need to make good plans. We should not only work hard on hardware construction, build more berths, strive for more ships to stop at Wuhan Port, but also straighten out the system and mechanism: "On the one hand, through resource sharing of information networks, reduce logistics costs, and let more goods transit in Wuhan; On the other hand, the ports in Hubei Province should be well coordinated. Instead of using the vicious competition of "subsidy war" to compete for market share, they should adopt the way of coordination, or even mutual equity participation, to jointly make the Yangtze River Shipping Center bigger and stronger. " Peng Zhimin added.
"If you want to develop, you must open up"
If it was not for the epidemic, the "14th Five Year Plan" of Hubei Province and Wuhan City might have been prepared. Peng Zhimin believed that when preparing the plan, some central cities in Wuhan city circle, such as Wuhan, Yichang, Xiangyang, etc., should spend more energy and resources to focus on developing some future competitive industries. "Wuhan's traditional industries, such as steel and cement, are facing fierce market competition and overcapacity, so they have to move outward. In the future, we should invest our limited resources in industries with promising market prospects."
In Peng Zhimin's view, we should consolidate the existing high-end equipment manufacturing, optical fiber communication, optoelectronics, biomedicine and other promising industries. After the epidemic, we should choose industries with comparative advantages, "These industries are contested all over the country. We should have a choice and not attack from multiple sides. But frankly, the specific industries we choose are the result of market selection, not the result of administrative planning."
"If you just put Wuhan in one region, it is actually a narrowing of its position. China's reform and opening up has gone through more than 40 years, and in the next 40 years, Wuhan's position should be the strategic fulcrum of reform and opening up in the new era." Zhang Yansheng, chief researcher of the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, believes that in the past 40 years, China's economic development support focuses on the coastal and western regions. However, it is impossible to pull China up only by relying on the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, and it is also impossible to pull China up only by relying on the western development.
Zhang Yansheng learned from Professor Zhang Peigang, an economic magnate, and highly praised the "cow belly theory" proposed by his mentor. In the 1980s, Professor Zhang Peigang proposed that it would be useless to pull up a giant bull that was bogged down in the mud by pulling its nose. Only by finding a fulcrum in its belly and using the lever principle can the cow get up. China is so big that if Shanghai and coastal cities are regarded as the nose of a cow, Chongqing and the western region as the tail of a cow, the central region is the belly of a cow. "If the cow is going to fly and China's economy is going to take off, will it be useful if it only pulls its nose and tail, and its belly still falls on the ground?"
The "cattle belly theory" later became the theoretical basis of the "rise of the central region", which is to implement the rise of the central region while opening up the coastal areas, drive the development of the western region, and realize the economic take-off of the whole country.
However, over the years of China's rise strategy, Wuhan's dependence on foreign trade is still only 14.5%, less than half of the national average of 33.7%. "It is unimaginable that such a closed and developed place is the thoroughfare of nine provinces." Zhang Yansheng believes that after Shenzhen, Pudong and Xiong'an, Wuhan should become the fourth pole, serving as the strategic fulcrum of reform and opening up in the new era and the key area for the first trial of reform and opening up in the new era.
Zhang Yansheng analyzed the trajectory of the outbreak of the epidemic in China to China News Weekly. Starting from Wuhan, the two most dynamic provinces in China, Zhejiang and Guangdong, and two super large cities, Beijing and Shanghai, were the first to be affected. Then, it will affect neighboring Anhui, Henan, Hunan and Jiangxi, then Jiangsu, Shandong and Fujian, and finally the whole country.
"From the infectious distribution of the epidemic, we can prove the radiation and impact of Wuhan on the whole country. How can we turn the damage of COVID-19 into an opportunity to stimulate the economy of the whole country in the next step?" Zhang Yansheng put forward the hypothesis that "Wuhan is not thriving in China". "To prove whether this hypothesis is tenable, we should give Wuhan a chance to verify it." That is to bring the central part of China to the forefront of reform and opening up and a new highland of internationalization, so that the resources of the whole China, people, finance and goods from all over the world can gather in the central part of China, drive the radiation to the east, west, north and south, and realize the rejuvenation of the whole China.
In Zhang Yansheng's view, in history, Dahankou and Shanghai have kept abreast. Small traders and hawkers are very active, and the market economy is very dynamic. Therefore, there is no lack of endogenous power. "Wuhan today, like Shanghai before the establishment of Pudong New Area, lacks a strategic positioning and a mechanism of first try. If Wuhan wants to develop, it must be open!"
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